The BYU Cougars host the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Friday, October 14th in a non-conference showdown. These teams last met in 2001 with the Cougars beating the Bulldogs 41-38 on the road. The road team has won the only two prior meetings.Mississippi St vs BYU Vegas Betting Preview & Spread
BYU (3-3) is coming off its biggest win of the season, a 31-14 road victory over Michigan State. Trailing 7-3 at halftime, the Cougars outscored the Spartans 28-7 after intermission to run away with it.
Mississippi State (2-3) is coming off its worst loss of the season, a 14-38 beat down at home at the hands of Auburn. The Bulldogs were never really in this game as they trailed 35-0 at halftime.
Kickoff inside LaVell Edwards Stadium is scheduled for 10:15 EST Friday night with ESPN providing the television coverage. The NCAA football lines for Week 7 show BYU as a 7.5-point favorite over Mississippi State with a total set of 58 points.Free Pick & Point Total Prediction: UNDER 58
If I had to recommend a play on the side I’d take Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout loss to Auburn, while the Cougars are coming off a blowout win at Michigan State. There could be some value with the Bulldogs after those results, especially with this being a letdown spot for BYU.
However, I think the better bet is on the total. The oddsmakers have set this number higher than it should be at 58 points. That means they are expecting more than eight touchdowns in this game, and I’m just not seeing it.
Mississippi State has played five games this season, and four of them have seen 52 or fewer combined points. The only exception was a 47-35 win over lowly UMass, which doesn’t play defense. They combined for 42 against South Alabama, 41 against South Carolina, 43 against LSU and 52 against Auburn.
Mississippi State has played five games this season, and four of them have seen 52 or fewer combined points. BYU has played six games this season, and four of those have seen 45 or fewer combined points.
BYU has played six games this season, and four of those have seen 45 or fewer combined points. The exceptions were West Virginia and Toledo, which are two teams known for their offenses. They combined for 34 with Arizona, 39 with Utah, 31 with UCLA and 45 with Michigan State.
The season averages for both teams also show there is value with the UNDER. Mississippi State puts up 25.6 points per game and gives up 26.2, which equates to 51.8 points per game on average. BYU puts up 28.2 points and gives up 25.8 points per game, which equates to an average of 54.0 points per game.
Both teams love to run the football as they both run it more than they pass it. Mississippi State averages 197 rushing yards per game on 38 carries. BYU averages 209 rushing yards per game on 39 carries. That’s going to keep the clock moving as each team prefers to move the ball on the ground.
That also makes this a great matchup for the defenses. The Bulldogs only give up 134 rushing yards per game and 3.7 per carry against teams that average 159 rushing yards per game and 4.2 per carry. The Cougars allow 126 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry against teams that average 178 yards per game and 4.4 per carry.
BYU is 30-8 to the UNDER in its last 38 games versus good rushing teams who average 4.75 or more yards per carry. Mississippi State is 29-13 to the UNDER in its last 42 after two more more consecutive ATS losses. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU) – in a game involving two poor passing teams (5.6-6.4 yards/attempt) are 44-14 (75.9%) since 1992.
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Alabama Crimson Tide
Early betting lines for the Pac-12 Pac-12 Week 7 game picks: USC-Utah will set tone in South Washington State can play defense so Mike Leach is OK with punting now Pac-12 Week 6 power rankings: Washington State makes a statement Pac-12 Week 6 game picks: Washington and Wazzu stay undefeated After making history, Stanford RB Bryce Love may chase the Heisman USC's game in Pullman always figured to be a tough trip Pac-12 Week 5 power rankings: Is the Apple Cup here yet? Washington State joins the playoff conversation with win over USC Washington is learning what it's like to be under the microscope Pac-12 Week 5 game picks: USC will survive in Pullman Pac-12 Week 4 power rankings: Four undefeated teams remain Athletic DT Vita Vea becoming more well-rounded defender for Huskies Pac-12 Week 4 game picks: We'll find out if Washington is for real in 2017 Meet the walk-on kicker who saved USC's season Pac-12 Week 3 power rankings: Cal wraps up a perfect nonconference slate Early betting lines for the Pac-12
If you’re the sort who likes to toss out the occasional doubloon on a football game -- and if you’re an early planner -- then this is the post for you.
The South Point Casino Hotel has fired off some early betting lines for Week 1 and throughout the season with some notable Pac-12 contests in the mix. Of course, point spreads aren’t necessarily a true determination of how good a team will or won’t be. They want action on both sides of the line.
But it can serve as a decent barometer for how some of the teams around the country are being perceived.
Here are the Pac-12’s available Week 1 lines:
California (-21) vs. Hawaii in Sydney, Australia
Oregon State at Minnesota (-4)
Colorado (-10) vs. Colorado State in Denver
Stanford (-16.5) vs. Kansas State
UCLA at Texas A&M (PK)
Washington (-20.5) vs. Rutgers
USC vs. Alabama (-10) in Arlington, Texas
Arizona (-3) vs. BYU in Glendale, Ariz.
Here are the other Pac-12 games that already have early lines:
Stanford (-1) at Notre Dame
Stanford (-13.5) at Cal
Arizona State at Arizona (-7)
Washington at Washington State (PK)
I’ll leave interpretation to the bettors of the world. Some lines -- like USC as an early 10-point underdog to Alabama -- make sense.
But a few of the lines did jump out as, at the very least, interesting. Oregon being a road underdog at Nebraska raised an eyebrow. Apparently the Week 1 juggernaut that is UC-Davis won’t prove to be a good enough gauge for the Ducks.
Stanford as a road favorite at Notre Dame is also interesting. The Cardinal and Irish have played some close ones of late. But Stanford hasn’t won in South Bend since 2010.
The Apple Cup line of “pick’em” seems pretty fair as of today.
Obviously a lot can and will happen between today and when these games are played. But it’s certainly fun to start looking ahead.Sponsored Headlines ABOUT COOKIES
The Texas Longhorns will be out for revenge when they host the BYU Cougars after suffering an embarrassing 40-21 road loss against them last year during Mack Brown’s last year as head coach.
The Longhorns are hoping to prove they are a new team this year under Brown’s replacement Charlie Strong. They got off to a good start with a 38-7 win over North Texas in their season opener.
Point spread: The Longhorns opened as 4.5-point favorites; the total was at sitting around 47 at Memorial Stadium, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).
Odds Shark computer prediction: 28.5-17.9 Longhorns
Why the BYU Cougars can cover the spread
If the Cougars run the ball like they did last year against Texas, they will not only cover the spread again but also pull off another upset. BYU had a school-record 550 rushing yards against the Longhorns, the most the proud school has ever allowed on the ground.
Quarterback Taysom Hill and running back Jamaal Williams did most of the damage with 441 yards between them to lead the Cougars, and the junior Hill is an even better passer now than he was when he faced Texas last year. Hill completed just nine of 26 passes for 129 yards with one interception and no touchdowns in the last meeting, but he is coming off a 308-yard, three-TD performance in a 35-10 rout of UConn last week.
He also ran for 97 yards and scored two TDs on the ground against the Huskies, proving he is one of the best dual-threat signal-callers in the country.
Why the Texas Longhorns can cover the spread
The Longhorns can’t play any worse than they did last year against BYU, and even then they were able to stay close during the first half before the Cougars literally ran away with the game. Texas trailed the Cougars 17-14 at halftime and already looked a lot better defensively last week under Strong in the win over the Mean Green.
The Longhorns picked off four passes, limited North Texas to only three completions on 17 pass attempts and held the opposition to 94 yards of total offense in the 38-7 rout. The Cougars will be a much tougher test, but they are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games, while Texas is 5-1 straight up in its last six at home with a 4-2 mark ATS.
The loss to BYU last year was the beginning of the end for Brown in Austin even though his team did rebound with a six-game winning streak later in the season.
Surrendering 40 points or more in two of the Longhorns' first three games with the OVER cashing four times in the first five, including the loss to the Cougars, was enough to show the Texas faithful they needed a change.
The Longhorns have simply too much talent to play that poorly again defensively, and Strong looks to be the right man for the job so far.
Both teams like to run the ball, making for a low-scoring game, and the trends match that style perfectly. The UNDER is not only 5-0 in the last five games overall and at home for Texas but also 7-1 in the past eight road games for BYU.
Note: All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury updates and line move updates and get the free odds-tracker app.
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Date/Time: 10:15 PM EST Saturday September 12, 2015
Location: LaVell Edwards Stadium Provo, UT
The 1-0 Boise State Broncos head into BYU to take on the 1-0 Cougars on the grass of LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo Utah on Sept 12, 2015. Kick-off is scheduled for 10:15PM ET.Betting Odds
Boise State -2.5 O/U 55
Boise State beat Washington in their season opener to begin the season 1-0, but they are 0-1 ATS, as they did not cover the spread as a 12-point favorite.
BYU won their season opener to begin 1-0 with a big 33-28 road upset of a ranked Nebraska team. They are 1-0 ATS, as they covered the spread facing Nebraska as a 5.5-point underdog.
These 2 teams met last season at Boise State where the Broncos beat the Cougars 55-30. In that game Boise State covered the spread as an 18.5-point home favorite. The last time these 2 teams met at BYU in 2013 the Cougars came out on top and also covered the spread.
After 1 game Boise State ranks 93rd in the nation in total offense and 11th in total defense and BYU ranks 37th in total offense and 91st in total defense.
Boise State: 79.76
In their big upset win over Nebraska BYU QB Tanner Mangum connected on a 42-yard Hail Mary as time expired.
In the Nebraska game BYU lost starting QB Taysom Hill for the season with a leg injury.
In the last 3 seasons Boise State has beat BYU twice, but both games were at home.
Boise State vs. Idaho StateBoise State Broncos at BYU Cougars Prediction
We really like BYU and they are at home, but we just can’t pull the trigger on them with the odds in this range. We get one of the top teams in the NCAA FBS laying less than a field goal against a team that they best 55-30 last season. The trend in the last three years is to the home team with all three victories straight up, but without Taysom Hill it would be a reach to think that trend will continue. We’ll square pants it out here.Bet Football Online
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We don't have a set time that we realease our plays, but between the game previews, computer plays and our best bets, most days throughout the week there will be at least one game that we'd suggest.
Yes. They are right now. All of are stats, analysis and suggested bets are free to the public.
It varies. Most college football seasons our team of cappers hit in the 60% range. We haven't had the same kind of success in the NFL on our best bets, but we are bringing back our computer model with the expectations of a profitable NFL season.
Bookmakers at the Las Vegas' South Point Hotel and Casino listed three games featuring the University of Oklahoma. The Sooners garnered higher point favorites in all betting lines. Oklahoma started off the year climbing at No. 6 in Athlon's college football preseason 2016 rankings.
Oklahoma No. 6 in Athlon preseason rankings https://t.co/Ha9TozNwbh
The Sooners are listed as 9-point favorites against Ohio State on Sept. 17. Oklahoma is raking 14-point bet advantage over Texas (in Arlington, TX) on Oct. 8. Oklahoma Sooners match against hometown rival Oklahoma State earned them 12.5 favorites despite Cowboys' home base advantage, according to ESPN's game list.
College Football Games of the Year! They are on the board and ready to bet @southpointlv and @RampartCasino pic.twitter.com/WQoagvTi84
Here is South Point's full game list which has placed a $1,000 maximum on the early betting lines:
Penn State at Pittsburgh (-9)
Arkansas at TCU (-6.5)
Michigan State at Notre Dame (-6)
Ohio State at Oklahoma (-9)
Oregon at Nebraska (-2)
Alabama (-3) at Ole Miss
Arkansas (-1.5) vs. Texas A&M (in Arlington, TX)
Tennessee at Georgia (PK)
Oklahoma (-14) vs. Texas (in Arlington, TX)
Washington at Oregon (-4.5)
Ohio State (-3) at Wisconsin
Stanford (-1) at Notre Dame
Alabama (-3.5) at Tennessee
BYU at Boise State (-11.5)
Clemson (-1) at Florida State
Baylor (-4.5) at Texas
Michigan (-2) at Michigan State
Nebraska at Wisconsin (-4)
Florida vs. Georgia (-1) (in Jacksonville, FL)
Auburn at Ole Miss (-12)
LSU (-5.5) at Arkansas
Stanford at Oregon (-1.5)
Stanford (-13.5) at Cal
Arizona State at Arizona (-7)
Washington at Washington State (PK)
Florida at Florida State (-11)
Michigan at Ohio State (-6.5)
Utah State at BYU (-1)
Nevada (-1.5) at UNLV
Auburn at Alabama (-18)
Georgia Tech at Georgia (-11)
Kentucky at Louisville (-16.5)
Mississippi State at Ole Miss (-12)
Notre Dame at USC (-6.5)
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-12.5)Related Articles
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